Markets cheer a Biden victory; What next?

Syam KP | Gulf Brokers
3 min readNov 24, 2020

Stocks and oil prices cheered the official confirmation of Joe Biden’s victory which means a more generous stimulus package to be deployed as soon as possible. The recent rally also supported by more upbeat news on the coronavirus vaccine. Meanwhile, at first Donald Trump rejected the outcome of the U.S. election, mounting legal action against vote-counting in states where he lost.

On Monday, the US General Services Administration acknowledged Joe Biden as the apparent winner of the presidential election. The Trump administration has officially commenced the transition process to U.S. President-elect Joe Biden.

Few notable financial market movements after the US election outcome:

Dow Jones futures hit 30k

US stock indices climbed to the highest levels in eight months after Joe Biden’s victory in the US presidential race. The news reports about progress in the development of a vaccine for COVID-19 also supported the bullish move. The stocks also gained on hopes that Republicans likely to retain the Senate, which won’t allow Joe Biden to initiate major changes, such as tax increases that may negatively impact corporate profits.

Gold initially rose but later shift into reverse gear

Gold prices initially bounced higher after the election outcome amid hopes for a large fiscal stimulus package while the price retreated back to below $1900 after upbeat vaccine news dented the safe-haven- the appeal of the precious metal. The precious metal posted the biggest daily decline in over seven years on Monday, November 09 following the optimistic news from Pfizer and BioNtech.

Oil prices gained for a three week in a row

Crude oil prices enjoyed three consecutive week rally following Biden’s victory in the hopes that he will soon announce a large fiscal stimulus package that could support demand for oil. Considering the recent bullish move the oil investors will closely monitor his future actions as he aims to tackle climate change and support renewable energy development.

US dollar struggling to find an upside momentum

US dollar remains under pressure amid hopes for a large fiscal stimulus package to prop up the US economy after Joe Biden’s victory. On the other hand, the Asian currencies extend gains against the US dollar as the Democrat Biden coming to power in hopes that Trump’s tariff war against China could be called off.

What’s next?

Certain advantages of Biden presidency what peoples are anticipating.

  • Lowered trade tensions
  • the large-scale coronavirus relief package
  • Medical expansion

In coming days, the investors will closely monitor the implications of Biden’s leadership on U.S. foreign policy and the stance toward China and the key oil producers Iran and Venezuela.

On the coronavirus front, the number of COVID cases continues to accelerate in the US but Joe Biden and his team have already started working on tackling the ongoing crisis in the country. He has already set up a twelve-member coronavirus taskforce populated by experts in complementary fields.

On the other part, as we know there’s already good preliminary news about an effective vaccine including Pfizer and Moderna. But the big question is how the Biden government is going to handle the vaccine distribution especially reaching rural populations and those without regular access to health care will be difficult.

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Syam KP | Gulf Brokers

A financial investment professional with over 9 years of FX and capital market industry. Chief analyst at Gulf Brokers https://gulfbrokers.com/en/research/blog